Blog
December 17, 2024
Yuliya Datsyuk
July 25, 2025

⚖️ Budget vs Actual Explained + Cheat Sheet 🎁

You've got your startup off the ground and created what seems like the perfect budget. But as the months pass, you notice a gap between budgeted and actual expenses.

Sounds familiar? Well, you're not alone. Welcome to the world of budget vs actual.

It’s something all business owners struggle with, especially new ones. The good news is that you can get much better in planning over time, with lessons learned from your previous budget variance analysis.

The question is – how? In this article, we'll explain everything you need to know about budget vs actual variance analysis with plenty of tips to keep you on track.

How budget vs actual works

To see how the budget vs. actual variance works, we need to define them first.

A budget is a plan that outlines how much money a company expects to make (revenue) and spend (expenditures) over a specific period, like a year. It sets targets for various financial aspects like income, costs, cash flow and other factors that measure a company’s success.

Actuals, on the other hand, are the real numbers that show what a company has actually earned and spent over the same period. They reflect the true financial performance of the company.

Imagine a small business that plans to earn $100,000 in a year and spend $80,000 on salaries and supplies. This plan is the budget. At the end of the year, the business checks its accounts and finds out it earned $90,000 and spent $85,000. These are the actuals.

In this case, the result is a $15,000 smaller profit, which is disappointing, but somewhat acceptable. In other cases, unwise financial planning could even lead to coming out at a loss at the end of the year.

In simple terms, a budget is like a map of where the company wants to go, while actuals show where the company ended up.

Comparing the two is necessary to see whether you've achieved your financial goals, and if not – why and what you should do differently next time.

For example, when finance leaders track these actual numbers for the first time, they might discover surprise costs or expenses not planned for in the budget.

Budget vs. actual can cover the following data:

  • Financial reports: Income statement, cash flow and balance sheet
  • KPIs: Three to five strategy win goals that include numbers about people (turnover, eNPS etc.), customers (volume, NPS, retention etc.), finance (MRR, profit etc.) and other key SaaS metrics
  • Ratios: Gross profit, EBITDA and net profit
  • Projects and experiments: Financial performance, cost/value analysis, timelines
  • Contrary to some advice you can find online, it's not enough to do budget vs actuals once or twice a year. We suggest doing it more regularly, to the point it becomes a habit.

    By keeping an eye on actual results, you can tell whether your company is on track to meet its goals. If you notice something is off track, you can adjust the budget to get back on course.

    There are four periods you can use to get insights into budget vs. actual and those are:

  • Weekly: Sprints, 1-on-1s and KPIs in the dashboard
  • Biweekly: KPIs in the dashboard, executive syncs and experiments plan/actual
  • Monthly: Company-wide financials (P&L, cash flow, balance sheet), unit economics (LTV/CAC, payback period, cohorts) and performance review (all KPIs and OKRs),
  • Every six months: per-project, metrics on a long-term scale and strategic planning
  • Formula for budget vs actual

    This is the typical formula for calculating budget vs. actual:

    Actual sales or expenditures / Budgeted or planned sales or expenditures (expressed in %)

    How to deal with budget vs actual variance

    Certain factors significantly affect unfavorable variance in small business financial planning and budget planning in general, such as:

  • Market dynamics: If a new competitor comes up with lower prices or the economy slows down, it can affect how much money a company makes and spends. You can deal with these fluctuations by staying informed, flexible and ready to change your plans.
  • Poor predictions: If a company expects too much growth in sales or doesn’t account for rising costs, the actual numbers will be way off from the budget. Avoid this by using a good tool for financial forecasting for startups, one that gives you both optimistic and pessimistic scenarios to prepare you for everything.
  • Incorrect data: A budget based on old sales numbers or wrong cost estimates can’t be accurate. Don’t use incorrect data; double-check information or implement a quality control system.
  • Labor expenses: Overtime, hiring additional staff, raises or increased benefits can cause actual costs to differ from the budget. If you want your labor expenses under control, monitor your staffing needs and plan for contingencies.
  • Materials cost fluctuation: If the price of materials increases unexpectedly, perhaps due to supply chain disruptions or market shortages, the actual costs will be higher than budgeted. Prevent this from happening by locking in prices when negotiating contracts and having multiple suppliers with different prices.
  • Timing: Differences in when income is received or when expenses are incurred can create variances, especially when dealing with payments in fluctuating currencies. That's something to have in mind when doing revenue recognition.
  • You should especially watch out for recurring and increasing losses. Here are four tips to avoid these:

  • Determine causes: Look into all the details, like unexpected expenses or revenue changes, to pinpoint what could be causing the variance.
  • Tailor solutions: Once you know the reasons, create specific solutions to address them, e.g., cut unnecessary costs, adjust your pricing strategy, find new revenue streams or improve efficiency.
  • Adjust forecasting: Use more accurate data and realistic assumptions based on previous months rather than assumptions or last years’ figures to create a better budget that reflects current conditions.
  • Repeat each month: Don’t just check the budget versus actuals once a year. Review and analyze the variances every month to keep a close eye on your business’s financial health.
  • Finally, make it a habit to go over the budget results in team meetings regularly. Discuss where the company is doing well and where it’s not meeting its financial goals. Make sure that everyone understands the reasons behind any budget variances.

    Remember that budget planning isn’t always about aiming for the biggest possible monthly profit. The goal isn’t always to save money. For example, let’s say you planned to spend $10,000 on marketing over a particular time period, and you ended up spending only $1,000. 

    This isn’t necessarily a good thing as it means you haven’t adhered to your marketing plan and probably won’t attract as many new clients as you planned, affecting your long-term goals and revenue.

    Hold executives and department heads accountable for their spending decisions and how they impact the company’s finances.

    How to plan?

    Many companies create excellent financial plans, but these often get forgotten and remain just unfulfilled dreams in spreadsheets. For a plan to be effective, track your progress regularly and analyze the actual results as you progress.

    Here's our 8-step planning process:

  • Define your mission.
  • Create a strategy – a long-term, five to ten-year plan.
  • Come up with tactics. Identify specific actions to implement your strategy in the next one to three years, such as launching new products or improving customer service.
  • Set victory goals. You should have short-term targets for the next three, six, or 12 months that provide quick wins and keep you on track toward your strategic goals.
  • Encourage brainstorming and collect diverse ideas.
  • Convert the best ideas into actionable projects with clear objectives, timelines, and resources to ensure effective implementation.
  • Allocate the necessary resources to support your projects and overall strategy efficiently.
  • Develop a financial plan with multiple iterations to anticipate different scenarios and adapt to changes, preparing you for unexpected challenges.
  • 9 steps from idea to financial plan

    Every successful financial plan starts with an idea, but not every great idea becomes a winning strategy. Here's how to ensure success and make your ideas come to life:

  • Brainstorm – This phase shouldn’t be reserved for the executives and financial teams only. Instead, engage everyone in the company, especially the sales and marketing teams, for a broader perspective.
  • Consider different types of projects – A project can be a new product, feature, marketing experiment or area of improvement, depending on the phase and goals of your business.
  • Do cost-benefit analysis – Before committing resources to any idea, you should assess its viability. You can do so by projecting potential costs and expected benefits and ROI to see whether the idea is actually worth it.
  • Turn ideas into projects – Develop projects with a high-level business plan. Align them with your long-term strategic tactics, ensuring each project supports your goals.
  • Prioritize projects and plan resources – Prioritize your projects based on their potential impact. Plan resources necessary for a particular project, and don't forget to include HR plans, whether hiring new people or reallocating existing staff.
  • Create a plan – Break down your project into smaller goals and milestones to make it more manageable. Make sure that each task is time-bound and you have a clear understanding of your ideal timeline.
  • Execute – Put your plans into action, one step at a time.
  • Track, compare and adjust – Track your progress regularly from the beginning and compare it with your initial plan. As mentioned above, analysing your performance after the project is finished is not enough. Instead, you should do it regularly, weekly or monthly to course-correct your actions. 
  • Do plan-actual analysis per project – The analysis will show you where you've fallen short and provide you with actionable insights for your next projects.
  • How to do a budget vs actual analysis

    The best way to do budget vs actuals analysis is to pull your data from your financial software. If you're using Fuelfinance, you can see all your metrics in one dashboard. Plus, we also recommend KPIs tailored to your startup financial model.

    The best thing about Fuelfinance is that you don't have to calculate anything. Our dashboard updates in real time and you can clearly see the difference between projected and actual revenue, as in the picture below.

    Scroll further in the dashboard to see a detailed breakdown of each metric.

    Here, you can see the difference between your projected income and actual income over a particular period (in this case, it's a positive, or favorable variance, meaning that your revenue is higher than you projected).

    Then, you can see the outflow, or how your actual expenses compare to what you've planned, whether you've spent more or less, and exactly how much.

    If you notice negative variance (earning less than you projected or spending more than you planned), ask yourself two questions:

  • What are the potential reasons this has happened?
  • What can we do in the future to prevent it?
  • When you finish analyzing the budget, you can move on to other metrics like revenue, COGS and profit in the same dashboard.

    Download our plan vs actual cheat sheet

    Would you like a financial expert to guide you through each step of plan vs actual analysis? If you’re nodding your head in agreement, download our cheat sheet where we’ve summed up everything you need to know.

    FORM FOR GETTING THE CHEAT SHEET

    Get our Plan vs Actual
    cheat sheet.
    Plan smarter 🤑

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    How else can Fuelfinance help you?

    At Fuelfinance, we believe you don’t need to be a financial whiz to understand your finances and do a budget vs actual analysis. With the right financial planning software tools and a little help, every startup founder or small business owner can easily handle their company’s finances (not just variance reports).

    That's why we've created small business financial management software tailored for startups. It comes with unlimited support from our finance team, which acts as your outsourced CFO.

    Our tool helps you create accurate projections and financial models that will reduce your expense variances and allow you to take control of your finances.

    Here are its key features:

  • All-in-one dashboard: Track all your important business metrics in one place with our dashboard, which updates in real time. We also recommend KPIs tailored to your SaaS financial model to help you monitor your company's performance.
  • Financial planning and modeling: To start with budget vs actuals variance analysis you need financial plans that you can compare with actuals. Fuelfinance is among the most accurate financial modeling software as it provides optimistic and conservative scenarios to help you prepare for all potential outcomes. This dramatically reduces unfavorable variances in your budget vs actual report.
  • Expert support: All our paid clients get unlimited support from our financial experts, who act as your fractional CFO and are ready to answer any questions.
  • Advanced automation: Say goodbye to manual spreadsheet updates. Fuelfinance automates routine tasks and keeps your data current, allowing you to make data-driven decisions without the hassle of constant updates.
  • Integrations: Fuelfinance integrates with popular financial tools like QuickBooks, Stripe, Gusto, Wise and more.
  • If you're an early-stage startup without funding, we’ve got something for you. Check out Bootstrap, a free tool that helps you manage business finances and create compelling reports for investors.

    Click here to discover what investors really want from early-stage startup finances.

    With Bootstrap, you can:

  • Draft small business financial statements, including a P&L statement, cash flow and balance sheet.
  • Use a dashboard to monitor key metrics for your business.
  • Watch helpful videos to learn how to do a financial analysis and many other things regarding your business finances.
  • Create financial plans and reports for investors.
  • Get started for free.

    Ready for financial peace of mind?

    Starting a business comes with its own challenges, and at Fuelfinance, we understand that. That’s why we’ve developed easy-to-use financial software tailored for small companies and startup founders. Our solution simplifies financial management, even if you’re not a finance expert.

    Fuelfinance keeps your books in order and calculates crucial metrics such as budget vs actuals. These figures show your business’s profitability and performance. Our software also assists with revenue recognition and financial statements.

    You’ll also have ongoing support from our team of experts, who are ready to answer any financial questions.

    Ready to see how Fuelfinance can streamline your financial management?

    Book a demo today, and let us show you how simple your financial journey can be.

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    FAQs

    What is the difference between actual and budget?

    A budget is a plan for how much money a company hopes to make and spend in a year. Actuals are the real numbers showing what the company earned and spent during that time.

    What does actual mean in a budget?

    In a budget, “actual” means the real money that has been spent or earned. It shows you what happened compared to what you initially expected.

    What is the difference between budgeted cost and actual cost?

    Budgeted costs represent the estimated amount of money planned for something. The actual cost is the real amount spent.

    How do you calculate budget vs actual percentage?

    First, find the difference between the resources you planned to allocate and what you actually spent. If you've used more money than planned, this number will be positive. Then, divide that number by the planned amount and multiply by 100 to get the percentage you went over budget.

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